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April 28, 2011
Guelph Biomathematics and Biostatistics (BioM&S) Symposium
Climate Change and Ecology: a Mathematical & Statistical
Perspective
Organizers: Julie Horrocks
and Marcus Garvie,
Department of Mathematics & Statistics, University of
Guelph
To be held at the
OVC Pathobiology
Animal Health Lab (PAHL)
(Room 1800)
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Registration
(on-line until April 27, 2011)
Registration fee $25, Students $15
(no refunds on fees)
*On-site registration available April 28,
2011*
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If you are interested in giving
a contributed talk or poster, please email a title and abstract
to mgarvie@uoguelph.ca by April 7, 2010.
Acceptance notices by April 14, 2010. |
| Presentation
Slides |
| Confirmed
participants |
Abstracts |
Directions
to Guelph and Map |
Overview
The principal objective of the symposium is to facilitate collaborations
between mathematicians, statisticians and bioscience researchers.
This year the theme is on climate change and ecology and is keynoted
by two invited lectures, including the Gordon C. Ashton Memorial
Biometrics Lecture. This year's symposium is intended to provide
exposure to various mathematical and statistical techniques used
to model and analyze the impact of climate change on the environment.
Invited Speakers:
Dr. James Zidek (UBC)
Marie-Josée Fortin (Toronto)
Presentation Slides of the Talks:
Dr. Yulia Gel, Department of Statistics & Actuarial
Sciences, University of Waterloo.
Detecting Trends in Hydrological Time Series,
with Application to Ice Phenology Data
Dr. William Langford, Dept. of Mathematics & Statistics,
University of Guelph.
Hadley Cell Changes in Today's Climate
and Paleoclimates
Program
| 8:45-9:00 |
Welcome and Introduction |
| 9:00-10:00 |
Session 1: Gordon C. Ashton Biometry Lecture, Keynote
Speaker
Dr. James V. Zidek, Department of Statistics, University
of British Columbia
Title: Forecasting Phenological Events in Agroclimate Risk
Management
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| 10:00-10:15 |
Coffee and Pastries |
| 10:15-10:45 |
Dr. Lev Tarasov, Dept of Physics and Physical
Oceanography, Memorial University of Newfoundland.
Bayesian Artificial Neural Network assisted calibration of
Earth Systems Models with structural error estimation
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| 10:45-11:15 |
Dr. Yulia Gel, Department of Statistics & Actuarial
Sciences, University of Waterloo.
Detecting Trends in Hydrological Time Series, with Application
to Ice Phenology Data
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| 11:15-11:30 |
Coffee Break |
| 11:30-12:00 |
Dr. Alexander Brenning,
Department of Geography, University of Waterloo.
Spatiotemporal analysis of remotely-sensed snow cover patterns:
Insights from survival models and generalized additive models
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| 12:00-1:30 |
Lunch (will be served) |
| 1:30-2:30 |
Keynote Speaker
Dr. Marie-Josée Fortin, Department of Ecology
and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto
Title: Species geographical range shifts due to global
change: adding the temporal dimension to species distribution
models
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| 2:30-2:45 |
Coffee and Cookies |
| 2:45-3:15 |
Dr. William Langford, Dept. of Mathematics
& Statistics, University of Guelph.
Hadley Cell Changes in Today's Climate and Paleoclimates |
| 3:15-3:45 |
Dr. Lilia Leticia Ramirez Ramirez, Department
of Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, University of Waterloo.
Use of GOP and hierarchical space-time models to derive probabilistic
weather forecasts
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| 3:45-4:00 |
Coffee Break |
| 4:00-4:30 |
Dr. Jay Malcolm, Faculty of Forestry, University
of Toronto.
Potential migration corridors for climate-change induced
tree migration in southern Ontario. |
| 4:30-5:00 |
Dr. Dalhai He, Dept. of Mathematics &
Statistics, McMaster University.
Mechanistic modelling of the three waves in the 1918 influenza
pandemic in the UK: effects of school term, weather and human
behavioral response |
Directions to Guelph and Map
The symposium will be held in Room 1800 of the OVC Pathobiology
Animal Health Lab (PAHL), Gordon St at McGilvray.
This is building 89 on the Campus
Map, Grid F6. (Note that there is an older pathobiology building
on College, so please take care!).
*Parking Directions and Costs*
The best place to park is Visitor’s Parking Lot P44. The entrance
to the parking lot is from College Avenue, on the other side of
Gordon.
See the Campus Map. It is a short
walk to the Pathobiology Building – please cross at Gordon
and College as there are lights.
The most economical option is to pay by VISA or MasterCard for the
whole day ($10.00). If paying by cash, the cost is $16.00 per day
or $2.00 per hour.
List of Confirmed Participants as of
April 28, 2011
| Full Name |
University Name |
| Abbas, Fazal |
University of Guelph |
| Allen, Brian |
University of Guelph |
| Althubyani, Mohammed |
College of Physical and Engineering Science, University of
Guelph |
| Berke, Olaf |
University of Guelph |
| Bifolchi, Nadia |
University of Guelph |
| Brenning, Alexander |
University of Waterloo |
| Brown, Joseph Alexander |
University of Guelph |
| Connolly, Jessica |
University of Guelph |
| Crea, Cathy |
University of Guelph |
| Dang, Utkarsh |
University of Guelph |
| Darlington, Gerarda |
University of Guelph |
| Deardon, Rob |
University of Guelph |
| Dobbs, Annie |
University of Guelph |
| Eberl, Hermann J. |
University of Guelph |
| Feng, Zeny |
University of Guelph |
| Fortin, Marie-Josée |
University of Toronto |
| Gallant, Bo |
University of Guelph |
| Gallant, Michael |
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| Garvie, Marcus |
University of Guelph |
| Gel, Yulia |
University of Waterloo |
| Gordon, Paul |
University of Guelph |
| He, DaiHai |
McMaster University |
| Horrocks, Julie |
University of Guelph |
| Ieraci, Luciano |
University of Toronto |
| Inch, Matthew |
University of Guelph |
| Keown-Stoneman, Charlie |
University of Guelph |
| Ker, Alan |
University of Guelph |
| Khassehkhan, Hassan |
University of Guelph |
| Kumar, Niraj |
Queen's University |
| Kwong, Grace |
University of Guelph |
| Langford, William |
University of Guelph |
| Malcolm, Jay |
University of Toronto |
| Malik, Rajat |
University of Guelph |
| Manns, Hida |
University of Guelph |
| Martchenko, Daria |
University of Guelph |
| Monette, Georges |
York University |
| Moorthy, Arun |
University of Guelph |
| Morsky, Bryce |
University of Guelph |
| O'Brien, Kristen |
University of Toronto |
| Persson, Gregory |
University of Guelph |
| Petukhova, Tatiana |
University of Guelph |
| Pichika, Sathish Chandra |
McMaster University |
| Rahman, Kazi |
University of Guelph |
| Ramirez Ramirez, Lilia |
University of Waterloo |
| Ratti, Vardayani |
University of Guelph |
| Ringa, Notice |
University of Guelph |
| Sudarsan, Rangarajan |
University of Guelph |
| Tait, Megan |
University of Guelph |
| Tarasov, Lev |
Memorial University |
| Tully, Stephen |
University of Guelph |
| Uzor, Blessing |
University of Guelph |
| Vlasic, Andrew |
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign |
| Wang, Weiqiang |
University of Guelph |
| Xin, Xin |
University of Guelph |
| Zidek, James |
University of British Columbia |
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| TO BE CONFIRMED: |
| Bunjaj, Gezim |
University of Tirana |
| Lawani, Abdelaziz |
North Carolina State University |
| Requena, David |
National University of San Marcos |
| Wang, Ying |
University of Minnesota |
| Wu, Yan Yan |
York University |
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