Bank Panics and Fire Sales, Insolvency and Illiquidity
Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that can propagate distress contagiously both directly within the banking network itself and indirectly, between the network and the external economy. These contagious effects can explain most aspects of past crises, and are thought to be likely to dominate future financial crises. This talk will describe a stylized model for financial systemic risk that includes all the important contagion channels identified in the literature. In such a model one can hope to understand the dangerous spillover effects that are expected to dominate future crises.