Dynamic Functional Principal Component Analysis: Optimal Dimension Reduction for Functional Time Series
In this talk, we address the dimension reduction problem for functional time series. Such time series arise frequently, e.g., when a continuous time process is segmented into some smaller natural units, such as days, each observation representing one intraday curve. Functional principal component analysis (FPCA), which is a key technique in the field, does not provide an adequate dimension reduction in a time series context. FPCA indeed is a static procedure which ignores the essential serial dependence features of the data. Therefore, inspired by Brillinger’s theory of dynamic principal components, we propose a dynamic version of FPCA which is based on a frequency domain approach, and show that it provides the optimal dimension reduction. By means of a simulation study and an empirical illustration, we show the considerable improvement our method entails when compared to the usual (static) procedure.