Harnessing multiple models to address uncertainty, value of information, and optimal control of disease outbreaks
Speaker:
Katriona Shea, The Pennsylvania State University
Date and Time:
Wednesday, March 7, 2018 - 9:00am to 10:00am
Location:
Fields Institute, Room 230
Abstract:
Major disease outbreaks often generate multiple modeling efforts to assist with forecasting and management. Uncertainty about appropriate parameters, model structure and management intervention implementation can generate significant disagreements, which in turns hampers policy-making for animal and public health. Using examples from human and livestock diseases, I outline approaches to address uncertainty and learning to help improve epidemiological management outcomes.