On notion of arbitrage and robust pricing and hedging of variance swaps
In robust pricing and hedging one does not assume any given model but starts with market quoted prices of some options and deduces no-arbitrage bounds on a given non-traded derivative, and further specifies robust hedging strategies which enforce these bounds. In this talk, we consider the case of a weighted variance swap (e.g. a vanilla variance swap or a corridor variance swap) when prices of finite number of co-maturing call/put options are given. We analyse in some detail the arbitrage opportunities which may arise when prices are mis-specified: model independent arbitrage, weak arbitrage and weak free lunch with vanishing risk. These new notions are necessary since do not have any pre-specified probability space. Based on joint works with M. Davis and V. Raval and with A. Cox.